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Supercomputing turns dark-matter waves into a testable prediction
Supercomputing turns dark-matter waves into a testable prediction
Alibaba’s superintelligence ambition puts supercomputing at the center of the AI race
Alibaba’s superintelligence ambition puts supercomputing at the center of the AI race
Japanese supercomputer recreates the birth of the Universe’s monster black holes
Japanese supercomputer recreates the birth of the Universe’s monster black holes
China’s supercomputing push meets a harder problem: Teaching computers to keep asteroids honest
China’s supercomputing push meets a harder problem: Teaching computers to keep asteroids honest
Supercomputing reconstructs the moon Venus may have lost
Supercomputing reconstructs the moon Venus may have lost
From the Tibetan Plateau to California: Supercomputing reveals a hidden source of flood predictability
From the Tibetan Plateau to California: Supercomputing reveals a hidden source of flood predictability
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Artist's impression illustrating how wave-like density patterns produced by ultralight dark matter could warp space and alter the path of light from a distant source. As the light travels past the lensing object on its way to Earth, it follows a distorted path shaped by the surrounding mass distribution. The reflective sphere symbolizes the still-unknown nature of dark matter. The image was created using 3D computer graphics software. Credit: Amruth Alfred
Artist's impression illustrating how wave-like density patterns produced by ultralight dark matter could warp space and alter the path of light from a distant source. As the light travels past the lensing object on its way to Earth, it follows a distorted path shaped by the surrounding mass distribution. The reflective sphere symbolizes the still-unknown nature of dark matter. The image was created using 3D computer graphics software. Credit: Amruth Alfred
Featured

Supercomputing turns dark-matter waves into a testable prediction

Deckard, Staff Editor September 23, 2026, 9:00 am

Direct Schrödinger–Poisson simulations generate 1,000 three-dimensional fuzzy-dark-matter halos and demonstrate how high-performance computing can turn an exotic particle hypothesis into an observational test

Determining the nature of dark matter, specifically whether it consists of conventional cold, massive particles or ultralight quantum waves, remains one of the most formidable and computationally intensive challenges in modern cosmology. 

A recent study published in The Astrophysical Journal Letters (https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/2041-8213/ae9a9e) demonstrates how high-performance numerical simulations can transition this inquiry from theoretical speculation to an observationally testable framework. Jiajun Zhou and his collaborators conducted the first calculations of gravitationally lensed images derived directly from three-dimensional fuzzy-dark-matter (FDM) density fields, evolved via the Schrödinger–Poisson equations. By computationally evolving the dark-matter wave field rather than relying on statistical approximations, the researchers were able to predict how these quantum structures perturb the images of distant, gravitationally lensed quasars. 

This work marks a significant computational milestone, as it effectively tests whether the intricate structures generated by quantum wave evolution persist through numerical processing to produce observable consequences that align with astronomical measurements. While these findings provide encouraging support for the fuzzy-dark-matter hypothesis, the authors emphasize that further research is essential to fully validate these results.

From particles to waves

Fuzzy dark matter, also called wave dark matter, proposes that dark matter is composed of extremely light particles whose quantum-mechanical de Broglie wavelengths can become comparable to astrophysical scales.

For a particle mass of 10⁻²² electronvolts, the characteristic de Broglie wavelength in the simulated galaxy-scale system is roughly 100 parsecs. That is an extraordinary scale for a quantum effect: roughly hundreds of light-years.

At these scales, the dark-matter halo cannot be treated simply as a collection of classical particles.

It must be treated as a coherent wave field.

That changes the computational problem fundamentally.

The researchers solve the coupled Schrödinger–Poisson equations, in which the complex wave function describes the FDM field while the gravitational potential is obtained from the density generated by that field.

The density is proportional to the squared magnitude of the wave function:

[
\rho = M|\psi|^2.
]

The gravitational field generated by that density then feeds back into the evolution of the wave itself.

This creates a nonlinear, self-gravitating wave problem.

It is precisely the kind of problem for which numerical resolution and algorithmic efficiency become inseparable from the scientific result.

A 512³ computational grid

The researchers employ a global Fourier pseudospectral method.

The choice is important from an HPC perspective.

Pseudospectral methods represent the field in Fourier space and can achieve high spectral accuracy for smooth wave fields while reducing numerical diffusion. The paper states that this approach is particularly suitable for the galaxy-scale lensing problem being investigated.

The production calculations use a 512³ grid, equivalent to more than 134 million spatial cells.

The simulation volume is a cube approximately 40 kiloparsecs on a side, and each realization is evolved for approximately 3.3 billion years of physical evolution time. The simulations use a total dark-matter mass of approximately 4 × 10¹¹ solar masses and investigate particle masses of 10⁻²² and 10⁻²³ eV.

The grid resolution is not arbitrary.

The researchers require the computational cell size to be smaller than the de Broglie wavelength, with several cells needed across the wavelength to resolve the interference pattern.

The grid must also resolve the physical scale corresponding to the observed tens-of-milliarcsecond positional anomalies in the gravitationally lensed system.

This is a classic HPC constraint: the physics dictates the resolution, and the resolution dictates the computational cost.

Reducing the cell size increases the number of grid points in three dimensions rapidly. A modest increase in linear resolution therefore produces a much larger increase in memory requirements and computational work.

1,000 universes inside the computer

Perhaps the most revealing computational figure in the study is not 512³.

It is 1,000.

The researchers generated 1,000 independent initial conditions, each constructed from five randomly distributed three-dimensional Gaussian wave packets.

Every realization was then evolved through the full Schrödinger–Poisson calculation to produce an independent three-dimensional fuzzy-dark-matter halo.

This transforms the project from a single numerical experiment into a statistical computational campaign.

The objective is not merely to produce one halo that happens to resemble the observations.

Instead, the researchers ask how often the structures naturally generated by the underlying equations produce lensing configurations compatible with the observed system.

That distinction is important.

A single simulation can demonstrate possibility.

A large ensemble begins to address probability.

The computer must preserve the wave physics

Numerical integration becomes particularly important because the researchers are not simply tracking the motion of individual particles.

They are evolving a wave field whose phase and interference structure matter.

The simulations therefore use a split-step pseudospectral method. During each time step, the kinetic and gravitational-potential operators are applied separately. The time step is constrained by the fastest phase oscillations associated with the kinetic and gravitational terms, with a safety factor imposed to avoid phase aliasing.

That is an HPC issue as much as a physics issue.

A simulation can run faster by taking larger time steps or using lower spatial resolution.

But if those shortcuts erase physically relevant wave structure, the resulting gravitational lensing prediction can become numerically precise but physically wrong.

The researchers instead make the numerical resolution part of the physical model.

From a three-dimensional supercomputer field to a two-dimensional sky

The computational workflow does not end when the dark-matter halo has been evolved.

The researchers then have to turn the three-dimensional simulation into an observable lens.

For each simulated halo, they determine its principal axis and rotate the three-dimensional density field through representative viewing directions.

The density is projected along the line of sight to generate a two-dimensional convergence map, after which the gravitational lens equation is solved to generate simulated image positions. The open-source lenstronomy package performs the lensing calculations.

This creates a computational pipeline that can be summarized as: wave equation → gravitational potential → three-dimensional density field → viewing geometry → projected mass → lens equation → multiple images → statistical comparison with observations.

The researchers sample 103 representative viewing directions and 10⁴ source positions during the forward-modeling process.

At this point, the project begins to resemble a modern scientific computing workflow more than a conventional analytic astronomy calculation.

The supercomputer is effectively generating synthetic observations from first-principles numerical evolution.

Matching the geometry without fitting away the physics

The study introduces another computationally interesting element.

The researchers compare the simulated and observed four-image configurations using pairwise-distance invariants and Procrustes alignment.

This allows translations, rotations, and reflections that do not represent physical differences to be removed from the comparison.

For four images, the six pairwise distances provide a complete set of geometric invariants for the relative configuration. The researchers use these distances to identify the source position that best reproduces the observed geometry and then apply Procrustes alignment to quantify the remaining image-position anomaly.

That is an important numerical safeguard.

Without it, the calculation could incorrectly interpret a simple coordinate-frame difference as evidence that the dark-matter model is wrong.

The computational machinery therefore has to be careful not only about solving the equations, but also about comparing the output with observational data in a statistically meaningful way.

The result: wave simulations reproduce the observed lens

The target is HS 0810+2554, a quadruply lensed quasar system containing two compact radio sources.

High-resolution radio observations have measured eight lensed radio images with sufficient astrometric precision to expose discrepancies between the observations and smooth conventional lens models.

For fuzzy dark matter with a particle mass of 10⁻²² eV, the wave-evolved halos produce median image-position anomalies of approximately 12 and 6 milliarcseconds for the two radio components.

Some realizations produce anomalies below approximately 3 milliarcseconds, within the roughly 3σ observational uncertainty level used in the analysis.

The comparison is particularly interesting because the simulations are not tuned to force the halos into the observed configuration.

The halos evolve from randomly generated initial conditions.

The researchers report that the wave simulations can reproduce the observed image positions to within approximately 3σ without fitting the internal state of the simulated halo to the observations.

By comparison, the Gaussian-random-field approximation generally produces larger positional fluctuations, while the best-fit smooth NFW model produces substantially larger discrepancies for most of the observed images.

Particle mass becomes a computationally observable quantity

One of the most important results is the sensitivity to the assumed particle mass.

When the researchers reduce the FDM particle mass from 10⁻²² to 10⁻²³ eV, the de Broglie wavelength increases and the resulting density fluctuations occur on larger physical scales.

The simulated lensing position anomaly rises to a median of approximately 50 milliarcseconds, roughly four times the value produced in the 10⁻²²-eV case.

This is precisely where HPC becomes scientifically powerful.

The computer is not merely illustrating a theory.

It is establishing a mapping: particle mass → wave scale → density structure → gravitational potential → image displacement.

That mapping gives astronomers a route toward constraining the mass of a hypothetical dark-matter particle through observations.

The paper concludes that future high-angular-resolution lensing observations could narrow the allowed FDM mass range.

Why Gaussian approximations are not enough

Previous FDM lensing calculations have often relied on Gaussian random fields because they are computationally efficient.

The approach can reproduce broad statistical characteristics of the fluctuations.

But it does not actually evolve the underlying three-dimensional wave system.

The distinction becomes important at higher precision.

The full Schrödinger–Poisson calculation naturally retains spatial correlations, mode coupling, and non-Gaussian higher-order structure generated during the evolution.

The researchers find that Gaussian random fields remain useful as efficient statistical approximations for moderate-precision calculations.

But for precision gravitational-lensing predictions, the direct wave calculation becomes increasingly important.

This is a familiar pattern in computational science.

Reduced-order models can provide enormous computational savings.

But as observational precision improves, the approximations that were once adequate can become the dominant source of error.

The HPC challenge is about to become larger

The authors explicitly acknowledge that full three-dimensional wave simulations are computationally expensive.

Future work will investigate larger simulation boxes and more efficient numerical approaches while preserving sufficient accuracy in the strong-lensing region.

That points directly toward the next generation of HPC requirements.

The current calculation uses a 512³ grid.

Moving toward larger physical volumes while maintaining comparable spatial resolution would increase the number of grid cells dramatically.

Increasing the resolution from 512³ to 1024³, for example, increases the number of spatial cells by a factor of eight.

Moving to 2048³ would increase it by another factor of eight.

And the problem is not simply memory.

Every time step requires large-scale numerical operations, including Fourier transforms and repeated evaluation of the gravitational potential. The long physical integration time compounds the workload.

An ensemble of thousands of realizations would turn the problem into a substantial distributed-computing campaign.

This is precisely where modern HPC architectures, large memory systems, high-bandwidth interconnects, accelerators, distributed FFT libraries and efficient parallel I/O, become critical.

China’s expanding computing ambitions

The scientific work is also part of a broader Chinese computational environment that is placing increasing emphasis on large-scale intelligent and scientific computing.

The research itself includes authors from Beijing Normal University and Tsinghua University, while the paper acknowledges support from China’s National Key Research and Development Program, the National Natural Science Foundation of China and the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences.

That institutional investment exists alongside a much broader national effort to expand computing infrastructure.

In June 2026, China’s State Council called for accelerating breakthroughs in key AI technologies and specifically urged construction of ultra-large-scale intelligent computing clusters. 

In September, a separate State Council meeting emphasized that computing networks provide fundamental support for artificial intelligence and called for improved computing infrastructure, coordination between computing capacity and electricity supply, and integration of computing and communications networks. 

China’s information and communications development plan released this month sets a 2030 target of 9,800 EFLOPS of intelligent computing capacity and calls for continued development of a nationwide integrated computing-power network. 

Those targets concern AI and national computing infrastructure rather than the specific astrophysical simulations described in the paper. Nevertheless, they illustrate the scale of the computing environment China is attempting to develop.

For scientific HPC, that matters.

The same fundamental infrastructure required for enormous AI workloads, high-bandwidth memory, accelerators, high-speed networking, storage, and large-scale parallel computing, can also expand the computational envelope available to astronomy, cosmology and fundamental physics.

Supercomputing as an instrument for dark-matter physics

The significance of this work extends beyond the study of fuzzy dark matter, representing a pivotal shift in the field of computational astrophysics. As modern instrumentation provides observations of unprecedented precision, capable of distinguishing between physical models previously obscured by measurement uncertainty, simulations must evolve to achieve commensurate realism. In the context of fuzzy dark matter, this necessitates moving beyond statistical approximations in favor of the direct evolution of the underlying wave field.

In this framework, the supercomputer functions as a laboratory where candidate universes are constructed, simulated, and observed. The study by Zhou et al. illustrates a rigorous numerical pipeline: evolving three-dimensional dark-matter halos, applying varied viewing geometries, projecting these into gravitational lenses, and benchmarking the results against milliarcsecond-scale astronomical data. This approach underscores a fundamental reality of contemporary high-performance computing: scientific advancement increasingly relies not merely on scaling computational capacity, but on resolving governing equations with sufficient fidelity to generate observationally testable predictions. 

Because the universe does not permit direct experimental manipulation of dark-matter particles, researchers must instead construct numerical proxies to evaluate theoretical consequences. By demonstrating that wave-driven gravitational structures produce measurable shifts in quasar images, this research establishes a vital mapping between particle properties and observable phenomena. Future progress will require simulations that are not only larger in scale but also more robust, statistically comprehensive, and deeply integrated with observational data. Ultimately, the trajectory of dark-matter research may depend on the extent to which the current computational frontier can be expanded.

Alibaba’s superintelligence ambition puts supercomputing at the center of the AI race
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Alibaba’s superintelligence ambition puts supercomputing at the center of the AI race

Tyler O'Neal, Staff Editor September 22, 2026, 1:00 pm

As Washington embraces the language of “superintelligence,” Alibaba unveils a full-stack computing strategy to scale machine reasoning, from trillion-parameter models and recursive self-improvement to 20 GW of data-center capacity.

The term superintelligence gained diplomatic prominence on Tuesday, as artificial intelligence emerged as a central theme alongside international security and global governance at the United Nations. During the 81st session of the UN General Assembly in New York on September 22, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States would formally adopt the term superintelligence in official documentation, asserting that the technology carries implications far more significant than conventional terminology implies.

Meanwhile, in Hangzhou, China, Alibaba articulated a more granular vision for the hardware needed to support increasingly advanced machine intelligence. Alibaba’s comprehensive AI roadmap encompasses a vertically integrated strategy, ranging from custom processors and high-speed networking to massive-scale model training, storage solutions, autonomous agents, and recursive self-improvement. Key strategic objectives include scaling future Qwen models to 5–10 trillion parameters, developing proprietary AI accelerators, deploying supernode architectures capable of supporting clusters of up to 500,000 accelerator cards, and achieving a global data-center capacity of 20 gigawatts by 2032. 

For the supercomputing industry, these developments signify a fundamental shift: the emerging global rivalry in artificial intelligence is evolving into a competitive race for foundational compute infrastructure. Furthermore, China is signaling a clear, strategic commitment to expanding its domestic capacity to supply this critical infrastructure.

The supercomputer behind “superintelligence”

Alibaba’s announcement at its Apsara Conference is notable because it does not treat AI as merely a software problem.

The company is attempting to vertically integrate the stack.

At the accelerator level, Alibaba’s T-Head semiconductor division introduced the Zhenwu V900, an AI processor designed for both training and inference. Alibaba says the processor delivers three times the performance of its Zhenwu M890 predecessor and includes 216 GB of GPU memory and 1,200 GB/s of inter-chip bandwidth.

The processor supports FP8 and FP4 data formats alongside higher-precision computation, allowing the same architecture to target both computationally expensive model training and lower-precision inference workloads. Mass production is scheduled for the first quarter of 2027, according to Alibaba. 

Those numbers matter because modern AI performance is increasingly constrained not simply by arithmetic throughput, but by how quickly enormous quantities of model state can move through the system.

A 10-trillion-parameter model is not simply a larger version of today’s language model.

It becomes a distributed-memory supercomputing problem.

The system must move weights, activations, gradients, optimizer states and training data across thousands, or potentially hundreds of thousands of processors while keeping the expensive accelerators busy.

Every byte that has to travel unnecessarily costs time, energy and money.

That makes memory capacity, memory bandwidth, network bandwidth, collective communication and storage throughput just as important to the AI system as raw floating-point performance.

Alibaba’s roadmap reflects that reality.

From AI chips to AI supernodes

Alibaba’s new supernode architecture combines the Zhenwu V900 processor with its ICN Switch, Panmai SmartNIC and Zhenyue SSD controller.

The goal is system-level integration.

Alibaba says the architecture can support a supernode cluster containing as many as 500,000 cards. 

That is an extraordinary scale.

At that point, the question is no longer whether an individual accelerator is fast.

The question becomes whether the entire machine can behave like one coherent computational system.

Large-scale AI training requires synchronization among thousands of processors. Matrix operations must be distributed, intermediate results exchanged, parameters synchronized and datasets continuously supplied. Network congestion, memory stalls, storage latency and failed components can all reduce effective utilization.

This is classic supercomputing territory.

The AI industry is therefore rediscovering many of the problems HPC engineers have worked on for decades: parallelism, locality, interconnect topology, distributed memory, collective communication, checkpointing, fault tolerance, storage bandwidth and energy efficiency.

The difference is scale and workload.

A 100-petabit network

Alibaba’s proposed AI infrastructure includes HPN 8.0 Pro, its proprietary networking architecture.

The company says the system provides 100 petabits per second of aggregate bandwidth, while a single cluster can support more than 130,000 network ports operating at 800 Gb/s.

Alibaba also says the architecture incorporates redundancy designed to prevent optical-transceiver and link failures from interrupting service. 

That is not networking as an accessory to the supercomputer.

It is part of the computer.

At massive AI scale, the network becomes the fabric through which the computational workload itself is executed.

The same principle has driven the evolution of classical supercomputers from relatively independent nodes toward tightly coupled systems with increasingly sophisticated interconnects.

AI is pushing that architecture into another regime.

Storage becomes part of the intelligence engine

Alibaba is also targeting one of the least glamorous, and most important, parts of the AI stack: storage.

Its Cloud Parallel File Storage system, or CPFS, is designed for AI training and is advertised as capable of delivering hundreds of terabytes per second of throughput and hundreds of millions of I/O operations per second.

Alibaba says the architecture can reduce enterprise AI storage costs by as much as 69 percent. Those are company-reported figures and should be understood as such. 

The importance of this is straightforward.

A giant AI model does not train in isolation.

Training pipelines continuously consume enormous datasets, generate checkpoints, write intermediate information and feed data to distributed accelerators.

If storage cannot keep up, processors wait.

And when a machine containing tens of thousands of expensive accelerators is waiting for data, the economics become ugly very quickly.

Supercomputing has long understood this principle.

The fastest processor in the world is not particularly useful if the rest of the machine cannot feed it.

Qwen moves toward trillion-parameter territory

The hardware roadmap exists to support an equally aggressive model roadmap.

Alibaba says Qwen 4 is currently in training, while subsequent Qwen 4.5 and Qwen 5 generations are projected to scale toward 5 trillion to 10 trillion parameters. 

Parameter count alone does not establish intelligence.

More parameters do not automatically mean a more capable system, and model quality depends on architecture, training data, optimization, inference techniques and evaluation methodology.

But enormous models dramatically increase the computational resources required for training and serving them.

The important development is therefore not simply the number of parameters.

It is the attempt to build an infrastructure ecosystem capable of sustaining models at that scale.

The more consequential development: machines improving machines

Perhaps the most intriguing, and concerning, from a supercomputing perspective is Alibaba’s emphasis on recursive self-improvement, or RSI.

Alibaba says Qwen3.8-Max completed 33 automated improvement cycles over more than a month, covering pipeline design, data validation, experimentation, and error diagnosis. The company reports that its Artificial Analysis score increased from 40 to 45 following autonomous training optimization and post-training techniques. 

Alibaba also describes an experiment in which a model worked through an entire chip-design lifecycle for more than 60 hours, making more than 10,000 electronic-design-automation tool calls.

The resulting chip design, according to Alibaba, reduced chip area by 42 percent without compromising performance. 

This is where the phrase superintelligence begins to acquire a distinctly HPC meaning.

The important transition may not be from one large model to an even larger model.

It may be from human-directed computation to increasingly autonomous computational experimentation.

Instead of engineers designing every experiment, an AI system can propose an experiment, execute it, evaluate the result, identify an error, modify its approach and run another experiment.

Then another.

And another.

The computational infrastructure becomes the laboratory.

China is building for the long game

Alibaba’s announcement should not be interpreted as evidence that China has already achieved artificial superintelligence.

It has not established that.

What it does demonstrate is an increasingly explicit Chinese strategy to expand AI capabilities by attacking the problem at multiple layers simultaneously.

China’s 2026–2030 Five-Year Plan calls for stronger AI research, improved model architectures and algorithms, large-scale intelligent-computing infrastructure, high-performance AI resources and consideration of ultra-large-scale intelligent computing clusters. It also calls for advances in AI agents, multimodal systems, embodied intelligence and exploration of artificial general intelligence. 

In June, China’s State Council called for accelerating breakthroughs in key AI technologies and expanding construction of ultra-large-scale intelligent-computing clusters. 

And in September, China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced an AI-focused software-industry action plan targeting broader deployment of AI development tools and agent-based software applications. 

Alibaba’s roadmap fits into that larger technological environment, although Alibaba remains a commercial company and its roadmap should not automatically be treated as a statement of Chinese government capability.

The distinction matters.

But the direction is difficult to miss.

China is simultaneously pursuing models, accelerators, CPUs, networking, storage, data centers, AI agents and applications.

The 20-gigawatt problem

Perhaps the most revealing number in Alibaba’s announcement is not 10 trillion parameters.

It is 20 gigawatts.

Alibaba CEO Eddie Wu said the company aims to exceed 20 GW of global data-center capacity operated by Alibaba Cloud by 2032 to support growing AI demand. 

Twenty gigawatts is a statement about physical infrastructure.

It means electricity generation.

It means substations.

It means cooling.

It means high-voltage distribution.

It means land, fiber, networking, storage and thousands upon thousands of servers.

It means that the race toward more capable AI is simultaneously becoming an industrial race over energy and infrastructure.

The computational revolution is becoming an electrical-engineering problem.

America and China are converging on the same computational reality

That is what makes today’s developments at the United Nations and Alibaba’s Apsara Conference particularly significant.

The political vocabulary may be changing.

The engineering vocabulary is not.

Whether policymakers call it artificial intelligence, machine intelligence, advanced AI or “superintelligence,” the underlying technology still requires processors, memory, networks, storage, power, and cooling.

And increasingly, it requires enormous amounts of all of them.

The United States remains deeply invested in frontier AI and AI infrastructure, while China is pursuing its own path toward large-scale intelligent computing. International discussions are simultaneously turning toward questions of AI safety, governance and control. UN Secretary-General António Guterres warned Tuesday that AI represents one of four major global “tests of power” and called for international cooperation on AI governance. 

China’s President Xi Jinping similarly argued at the July 2026 World AI Conference that AI presents both opportunities and governance challenges, while calling for expanded AI innovation, computing infrastructure, international cooperation and systems intended to keep AI secure and controllable. 

That creates a difficult technological paradox.

The world is simultaneously trying to accelerate AI capability and control its consequences.

Those objectives can pull in opposite directions.

Supercomputing is becoming the strategic infrastructure underneath AI

The High-performance computing community is facing an increasingly clear reality: the next generation of artificial intelligence will not be achieved solely through algorithmic innovation, but rather through the construction of increasingly sophisticated supercomputing systems. The winning architectures will be those capable of coordinating processors at an unprecedented scale, managing massive data bandwidth, optimizing storage for enormous datasets, mitigating communication overhead, ensuring fault tolerance, and operating within stringent power constraints. 

Furthermore, if recursive self-improvement becomes a primary component of model development, machines may soon begin designing the very experiments that determine the architecture of future intelligence. This represents a profound shift. For decades, supercomputers have served as humanity's primary instruments for exploring complex scientific phenomena, from climate modeling to materials science. Now, the supercomputer itself is becoming an active participant in the research process. Alibaba’s roadmap, characterized by trillion-parameter models, massive accelerator clusters, high-speed networking, and multi-gigawatt power requirements, illustrates this trajectory. The core challenge is no longer merely the growth of AI, but the rapid evolution of computational infrastructure into a new class of global industrial system. As global discourse continues to define the terminology of this technology, the structural foundation is already being laid, forcing the world to determine whether it can build this computational capacity quickly enough to effectively understand and govern the intelligence it is creating.

Visualization of the simulation by ATERUI III showing a rapidly growing black hole surrounded by gas. Red indicates areas of higher temperature. (Credit: Sunmyon Chon, Takaaki Takeda, 4D2U Project, NAOJ)
Visualization of the simulation by ATERUI III showing a rapidly growing black hole surrounded by gas. Red indicates areas of higher temperature. (Credit: Sunmyon Chon, Takaaki Takeda, 4D2U Project, NAOJ)
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Japanese supercomputer recreates the birth of the Universe’s monster black holes

CHRIS O'NEAL, PUBLISHER September 17, 2026, 8:00 am

ATERUI III simulations connect the cosmic web to individual gas clouds, supermassive stars and rapidly growing black holes, offering a computational explanation for JWST’s mysterious ‘Little Red Dots’

Researchers utilizing the ATERUI III supercomputer at the National Astronomical Observatory of Japan have provided a computational framework to explain the existence of unexpectedly large supermassive black holes in the early Universe. By conducting high-resolution, radiation-hydrodynamic simulations, the study (Nature's academic paper: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-026-10985-8) illustrates how external far-ultraviolet radiation can suppress gas fragmentation, leading to a concentrated accumulation of matter that fosters the growth of massive protostars and subsequent black-hole seeds. Furthermore, the simulation demonstrates that these rapidly growing black holes are temporarily obscured by dense gas, providing a compelling theoretical explanation for the "Little Red Dots" observed by the James Webb Space Telescope. This research highlights the efficacy of specialized high-performance computing architectures in bridging the gap between cosmological simulations and synthetic observations.

This Is a Supercomputing Problem Before It Is a Black-Hole Problem

The central achievement is not simply that researchers simulated a black hole.

It is that they attempted to simulate the environment that creates one.

The paper uses the moving-mesh AREPO code to perform three-dimensional radiation-hydrodynamic calculations. The simulation must simultaneously account for gravity, gas dynamics, radiation, chemistry, star formation, and black-hole accretion across vastly different physical scales.

That is precisely the kind of workload for which conventional single-scale astrophysical models begin to break down.

At the largest scale, the researchers begin with a cosmological dark-matter simulation covering a 16 h⁻¹-megaparsec comoving volume using 4,096³ dark-matter particles. Each dark-matter particle has a mass of approximately 5.13 × 10³ h⁻¹ solar masses, allowing the simulation to identify minihalos down to approximately 10⁵ h⁻¹ solar masses.

That is already a substantial numerical problem.

But the researchers do not stop at cosmological structure.

They construct halo merger trees, incorporate semi-analytic models of early galaxy formation, follow primordial and metal-enriched star formation, supernova feedback, chemical enrichment, and local Lyman-Werner radiation fields, and then select a candidate halo for a much more expensive radiation-hydrodynamic calculation.

The simulation subsequently zooms into a region approximately 400 kiloparsecs across, surrounding a target halo in a 3.8-sigma overdensity.

That is a classic HPC strategy:

Find the needle in the cosmological haystack, then spend enormous computational resources examining the needle.

ATERUI III: The HPC Engine Behind the Experiment

The calculations were performed on the XD2000 system at the Center for Computational Astrophysics of NAOJ, the machine known as ATERUI III.

ATERUI III is not a conventional general-purpose supercomputer deployment. NAOJ designed it specifically for simulation astronomy.

The HPE Cray XD2000 system has a theoretical peak performance of 1.99 petaflops and 32,256 CPU cores across 288 nodes. It is divided into two different computing environments.

System M emphasizes memory bandwidth, while System P emphasizes memory capacity. System M provides 3.2 TB/s of memory bandwidth per node, while System P provides 512 GB of memory per node. 

For this study, the research team used ATERUI III’s System M, taking advantage of its high-speed memory subsystem for the large-scale simulation workload. 

That design decision is significant.

Astrophysical hydrodynamics is not simply a race to maximize floating-point operations. A simulation can spend enormous amounts of time moving particle and cell data through memory, updating neighboring cells, evaluating gravitational interactions, and exchanging information between distributed computational domains.

For these workloads, memory bandwidth can matter as much as peak FLOPS.

ATERUI III’s System M is built around Intel Xeon CPU Max 9480 processors and provides 128 GB of high-bandwidth memory per node. Across its 208 System M nodes, the subsystem delivers approximately 665 TB/s of aggregate memory bandwidth according to NAOJ specifications. 

That makes ATERUI III an interesting example of a broader HPC principle: The best supercomputer for a scientific problem is not necessarily the machine with the largest theoretical FLOPS number. It is the machine whose architecture matches the computational structure of the problem.

4,096³ Particles Are Only the Beginning

The simulation’s numerical hierarchy becomes even more impressive when the researchers zoom in.

The baseline cosmological calculation uses 4,096³ dark-matter particles. A higher-resolution follow-up increases the effective resolution of the zoom region to 8,192³, reducing the dark-matter particle mass to approximately 542 h⁻¹ solar masses and the baryonic particle mass to approximately 99.2 h⁻¹ solar masses.

The higher-resolution calculation produced essentially the same black-hole growth behavior as the fiducial simulation, providing an important numerical-resolution check.

This is exactly the sort of test HPC researchers want to see.

A spectacular visualization is not enough.

A simulation can always produce a beautiful result. The harder question is whether the result survives when the computational mesh or particle resolution changes.

Here, the researchers found that the major black-hole growth result was relatively insensitive to the increased numerical resolution.

That does not eliminate every uncertainty, but it gives the computational result considerably more credibility.

The Physics Gets Expensive When the Universe Gets Interesting

The computational difficulty rises dramatically once the primordial gas begins collapsing.

The radiation-hydrodynamic calculation uses adaptive mesh refinement, refining regions when the local cell size falls below 16 times the local Jeans length. The purpose is to capture gravitational collapse while avoiding artificial fragmentation.

The code also follows a non-equilibrium primordial chemical network involving eight species: e⁻, H, H⁺, H₂, H⁻, D, D⁺ and HD.

The simulation includes molecular and atomic cooling, free-free and free-bound emission, ionization, photodissociation and photodetachment processes. Radiation from stars and black holes is also coupled to the gas.

This is where the HPC workload becomes much more than an N-body calculation.

At every stage, the simulation is effectively asking:

  • Where is the gas?
  • How fast is it moving?
  • How dense is it?
  • What is its temperature?
  • Which chemical species are present?
  • How is radiation changing those species?
  • Is the gas cooling?
  • Is gravity overcoming pressure?
  • Are stars forming?
  • How much radiation are those stars producing?
  • Is that radiation suppressing or accelerating further collapse?
  • Is a black hole accreting?
  • How does its radiation feed back into its environment?

And all of those questions are coupled.

The Computer Finds a Cosmic Traffic Jam

The simulations reveal a remarkable environmental effect.

A luminous neighboring galaxy located roughly 10 kiloparsecs away bathes the target halo in intense far-ultraviolet radiation. Instead of simply triggering star formation, the radiation suppresses molecular hydrogen cooling and delays the normal fragmentation of gas into many smaller stars.

Meanwhile, gravity continues pulling material into the halo.

The result is effectively a cosmic traffic jam.

Gas accumulates rather than efficiently fragmenting.

When collapse eventually begins, enormous amounts of material become available to a small number of rapidly growing protostars.

In the simulation, some protostars reach 5–9 × 10⁵ solar masses.

That is dramatically larger than the roughly 10⁵-solar-mass scale associated with conventional direct-collapse models.

Those supermassive stars subsequently collapse to form black-hole seeds of approximately 10⁶ solar masses.

The significance for HPC is profound.

The computer is not merely calculating a black hole.

It is calculating the conditions under which the black hole becomes possible.

From 1 Million to 30 Million Solar Masses

Once the massive seed forms, the simulation enters another computationally difficult regime.

The newly formed black hole becomes embedded in dense, optically thick gas. Radiation becomes trapped, allowing material to fall inward at rates several to tens of times the conventional Eddington limit for a short period.

The simulation follows this rapid growth.

By approximately redshift z ≈ 10, the black holes have grown beyond 10⁷ solar masses. By z ≈ 8, the model reaches approximately 3 × 10⁷ solar masses in the most massive system. (Nature)

The computation therefore bridges an enormous dynamic range: cosmic structure → dark-matter halo → gas reservoir → collapsing cloud → protostars → supermassive star → black-hole seed → accretion disk → overmassive black hole.

That is an extraordinary numerical pipeline.

The Simulation Also Has to Become a Telescope

One of the most important aspects of the study is that the researchers do not stop once a massive black hole appears.

They ask what the simulated object would actually look like.

The high-resolution calculations resolve the dense gas around one black hole down to approximately 500 astronomical units. The simulated circum-black-hole environment reaches hydrogen densities above 10¹⁰ cm⁻³.

The model produces strong Hα emission and substantial Thomson optical depth.

At 26,000 years after black-hole formation, the simulated Hα luminosity within 10⁴ AU reaches approximately 1.5 × 10⁴³ erg/s, with a Thomson optical depth of 10.2 at that radius. Hundreds of thousands of years later, the environment evolves substantially as the dense gas dissipates.

This is an important HPC concept: simulation is becoming synthetic observation.

The supercomputer does not simply calculate where matter goes.

It calculates what the resulting astrophysical system should emit.

That allows the researchers to compare the simulated universe against JWST observations.

The result is a computational loop: Physics → simulation → synthetic spectrum → telescope → comparison → improved physical model.

Why “Little Red Dots” Matter to HPC

JWST’s LRDs initially appeared to be another observational mystery.

The simulations now provide a possible computational explanation: they may represent a short-lived, heavily obscured phase in the formation and rapid growth of massive black holes.

Dense gas around the black hole can produce strong Balmer features and broad Hα emission through electron scattering. The simulated systems transition from heavily obscured LRD-like objects toward less obscured, more conventional AGN-like states on timescales of roughly 0.1–1 million years.

The computer therefore connects an observational signature to a physical evolutionary sequence.

That is precisely where simulation supercomputing becomes more than an engineering exercise.

It becomes a scientific laboratory.

Supercomputers Are Becoming Cosmic Time Machines

There is something inspirational about what is happening here.

Humanity cannot travel back to the first billion years of cosmic history.

We cannot place a sensor beside a primordial protostar.

We cannot watch a supermassive star collapse into a black hole.

We cannot wait 600 million years to observe what happens next.

But we can build mathematical representations of those environments and give them enough computational resolution to evolve.

ATERUI III effectively becomes a laboratory in which researchers can perform experiments on a Universe that no longer exists.

And the scale of that laboratory is expanding.

NAOJ describes ATERUI III as part of the emergence of “simulation astronomy”, a computational branch of astronomy in which supercomputers numerically solve physical equations that cannot be solved analytically. 

This study is a powerful demonstration of that idea.

The HPC Lesson: Resolution Is a Scientific Instrument

For the supercomputing community, perhaps the most important lesson is not the headline black-hole mass.

It is the way the researchers use computational resolution as a scientific instrument.

The workflow moves through multiple levels:

16 h⁻¹ Mpc cosmological volume

↓

4,096³ dark-matter particles

↓

Target halo identification

↓

~400-kpc zoom region

↓

adaptive radiation hydrodynamics

↓

8,192³ effective high-resolution follow-up

↓

protostellar fragmentation

↓

supermassive-star formation

↓

black-hole formation

↓

500-AU circum-black-hole zoom

↓

synthetic observable signatures

That is a textbook example of hierarchical HPC.

No single numerical resolution can efficiently represent every scale simultaneously.

Instead, the simulation spends computational resources where the physics becomes important.

And There Is Still More Computing Ahead

The researchers are careful about what their simulation does not yet include.

For example, the model does not include kinetic feedback from accreting black holes such as jets or winds. The authors explicitly describe the resulting calculation as a fiducial model and an upper limit on black-hole growth under the assumption that such kinetic feedback is absent.

The paper also notes that the present simulation does not resolve the full galactic-scale gas inflows required to sustain long-term Eddington accretion.

Those limitations point directly toward the next generation of HPC workloads.

More physics.

More resolution.

Longer time integration.

Larger cosmological volumes.

More black holes.

More radiation.

More detailed feedback.

And eventually, more direct connections between simulated populations and the growing JWST observational catalog.

The computational challenge is therefore not disappearing.

It is expanding.

From Petaflops to Scientific Discovery

ATERUI III has a theoretical peak performance of 1.99 petaflops, which is tiny compared with today’s largest general-purpose exascale machines.

But peak FLOPS alone completely misses the point.

This research demonstrates why specialized HPC architectures remain valuable.

A system optimized for memory bandwidth, scientific simulation, and the specific numerical characteristics of astrophysical workloads can turn computational resources into scientific experiments.

The researchers used ATERUI III’s XD2000 system for calculations that combine gravity, hydrodynamics, adaptive resolution, radiation transport, chemistry, star formation and black-hole physics.

The result is not simply another simulation.

It is a possible explanation for one of JWST’s strangest discoveries.

And that may be the most compelling future for supercomputing: not merely calculating faster, but making questions that once seemed computationally impossible experimentally accessible.

The Universe left humanity a puzzle written in photons.

JWST found the clues.

ATERUI III helped researchers build the laboratory needed to understand them.

And somewhere inside that numerical laboratory, a million-solar-mass black-hole seed emerged from primordial gas and began growing into the kind of cosmic monster that the early Universe apparently had been building all along.

For supercomputing, that is the real story: when enough computational power, physical modeling, and numerical resolution converge, the computer stops merely calculating the Universe and starts allowing us to experiment with it.

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