SUNY Stony Brook's Reed forecasts attribution of the human influence on Hurricane Florence

A study led by Kevin Reed, Ph.D., Assistant Professor in the School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences (SoMAS) at Stony Brook University, and published in Science Advances, found that Hurricane Florence produced more extreme rainfall and was spatially larger due to human-induced climate change.

Previous research has suggested that human influences such as emission of greenhouse gasses that alter climate do affect precipitation in extreme storms. The research in this study, however, is a first to use a “forecast attribution” framework that enables scientists to investigate the effect of climate change on individual storm events days in advance. Kevin Reed, PhD{module INSIDE STORY}

In 2018, prior to the landfall of Hurricane Florence, Reed and colleagues made predictions based on simulations of the storm given climate change models. They predicted Hurricane Florence would be slightly more intense for a longer portion of the forecast period, rainfall amounts over the Carolinas would be increased by 50 percent due to climate change and warmer water temperatures, and the hurricane would be approximately 80 kilometers larger due to the effect of climate change on the large-scale environment around the storm.

“With our ability for additional ‘hindsight’ numerical modeling of the storm around climate change factors, we found predictions about increases in storm size and increased storm rainfall in certain areas to be accurate, even if the numbers and proportions are not exact,” explains Reed. “More importantly, this post-storm modeling around climate change illustrates that the impact of climate change on storms is here now and is not something only projected for our future.” 

Reed explains the future tools of storm modeling including the approach by his team in this brief video.  

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He said that while the post-storm analysis did show that the storm was slightly more intense during the forecast period due to climate change – as they predicted – as measured by minimum surface pressure and near-surface winds, the finding remains the most uncertain from the hindsight model.

One key finding of the post-storm model showed that Hurricane Florence was about nine kilometers larger in mean maximum diameter due to climate change. Additionally, rainfall amounts over large ranges were significantly increased. Mean total overland rainfall amounts associated with the forecasted storm’s core were increased by 4.9 ± 4.6% with local maximum amounts experiencing increases of 3.8 ± 5.7% due to climate change.

Reed emphasizes that by attributing climate change effects to individual storms, as his team did with Hurricane Florence, scientists are better able to communicate the direct impacts of climate change on extreme weather to the public.

CenturyLink accelerates ongoing Board refreshment process to improve corporate governance

CenturyLink's Glen F. Post, III has decided not to stand for re-election at the Company's 2020 Annual Shareholder Meeting.

"After 34 years of service as a CenturyLink director, I have decided to retire from the Board," Post said. "I leave with a great sense of confidence in Jeff and our leadership team, of pride in our accomplishments together and a real optimism for our future. I am honored to have worked with so many great people to make it so. I will continue to closely follow the Company and I encourage our employees to keep their feet firmly grounded in our Unifying Principles of honesty, integrity, and fairness as they continue to push this great company forward."

"Glen has had a unique and remarkable career," said Jeff Storey, CenturyLink Chief Executive Officer, and President. "He led CenturyLink's transformation into what is today one of the world's leading network services providers. Because of his vision, our future is bright. I have appreciated his support, his counsel and his unfailing focus on doing the right thing. He leaves a legacy of leadership we all strive to emulate." 

In addition to Post's retirement from the Board, current non-executive Board Chairman Harvey Perry will retire effective May 2020 under the Company's director retirement policy. Upon Perry's retirement, T. Michael Glenn will assume the position of Chairman of the Board. Current Vice Chairman Bruce Hanks will continue to serve in that role. {module INSIDE STORY}

Glenn served as a director since Nov. 1, 2017, and is a member of the Audit and Human Resources and Compensation Committees. He served as Senior Advisor at Oak Hill Capital Partners since November 2017. For 35 years until his retirement in December 2016, Glenn served in leadership roles at FedEx Corporation and its predecessor, FedEx Express, including, most recently, as Executive Vice President of Market Development and Corporate Communications for FedEx Corporation. He was also a member of the five-person Executive Committee, responsible for planning and executing the corporation's strategic business activities, and President and Chief Executive Officer of FedEx Corporate Services, responsible for all marketing, sales and retail operations functions for all FedEx Corporation operating companies. Glenn currently serves as a director of Pentair plc and previously served as a director of Level 3 Communications, Inc.

Appointment of Independent Director

The Company also announced today that it has appointed Hal Jones to its Board of Directors, effective Jan. 1, 2020. Jones was recommended to the Board by Southeastern Asset Management. With his election, the Board will comprise 14 members until the 2020 Annual Shareholder Meeting, at which point the Board intends to put forth a slate of 11 directors, 10 of whom will be independent and several of whom will have joined since 2015.

From 2009 to 2013, Jones served as Chief Financial Officer of Graham Holdings Company, a diversified education, and media company, and its predecessor, The Washington Post Company. From 1989 until 2013, he worked in various capacities at The Washington Post Company. From January 2008 to December 2009, he served as the President and Chief Executive Officer of Kaplan Professional, a subsidiary of The Washington Post Company, and in a variety of other capacities from 1989 to 2008. Prior to joining The Washington Post Company, Jones worked for Price Waterhouse (now PricewaterhouseCoopers) from 1977 to 1988. Jones also serves as a director of Playa Hotels and Resorts.

"We are pleased to welcome Hal to the Company's Board," said Storey. "He brings a fresh perspective that will be helpful in the Board's critical role in overseeing the profitable deployment of capital in today's evolving landscape. I am confident that Hal will help us drive success for our shareholders, customers, and employees."

"I am excited to join the Board at this critical time in the Company's evolution," said Jones. "CenturyLink plays an integral role in connecting our world and I look forward to working with management and my fellow Board members to ensure the Company continues to drive long-term value per share."

Enhancements to Corporate Governance Guidelines

In addition to changes in Board Composition, the CenturyLink Board approved the following changes to its Corporate Governance Guidelines:

  • Targeting average Board tenure of no more than 10 years;
  • Targeting to have all non-CEO Board members be independent;
  • Targeting a Board size of between 10 and 12 directors; and
  • Rotating Board committee and Board chairs approximately every five years.

"The CenturyLink Board continuously reviews our governance practices and Board composition to ensure that we are aligned with the interests of all shareholders," said Storey. "We will continue to take actions that we believe will enable us to oversee the execution of a strategy that drives success for our shareholders, customers and employees."

Maxar Technologies sells MDA to Northern Private Capital for CAD$1B

Maxar plans to use the proceeds to pay down debt and fund investments in its core areas of Earth Intelligence and Space Infrastructure

Westminster, CO-based Maxar Technologies has entered into a definitive agreement to sell MDA to a consortium of financial sponsors led by Northern Private Capital (NPC), for CAD$1 billion (US$765 million), subject to customary adjustments. The company expects to use proceeds to reduce leverage and improve its capital structure to prioritize investments for growth in its core areas of Earth Intelligence and Space Infrastructure.

The transaction includes all of MDA’s Canadian businesses, encompassing ground stations, radar satellite products, robotics, defense, and satellite components, representing approximately 1,900 employees. These businesses are expected to generate approximately US$370 million and US$85 million in revenue and Adjusted EBITDA, respectively in 2019. This revenue is inclusive of approximately US$78 million of intercompany sales to other Maxar entities.

Following the completion of the transaction, the MDA team will operate as a stand-alone company within NPC’s portfolio, retaining its name and standing as the leading space and defense company in Canada. MDA expects to continue to supply Maxar with certain components and subsystems, and the companies expect to sell each other’s complementary satellite data. The revenue and Adjusted EBITDA numbers for MDA highlighted above include approximately US$52 million of revenue and US$29 million of Adjusted EBITDA for certain radar related imagery sales which have historically been included in Maxar’s imagery segment. This business activity has been included in the sale of MDA. {module INSIDE STORY}

“The sale of MDA furthers execution on the company’s near-term priority of reducing debt and leverage,” said Dan Jablonsky, Maxar CEO. “It also provides increased flexibility, range, and focus to take advantage of substantial growth opportunities across Earth Intelligence and Space Infrastructure categories. After the transaction is complete, Maxar will retain leading capabilities in geospatial data and analytics, satellites, space robotics, and space infrastructure, and we will continue to have strong alignment with our defense and intelligence customers, the evolving requirements of civil governments, and the pursuit of innovation seen in the commercial marketplace. We thank the talented employees of MDA, who have built a world-class business with unique capabilities, and we look forward to working with them as a commercial partner and component supplier to Maxar going forward.”

“This transaction — when combined with the recently completed sale of real estate in Palo Alto — reduces Maxar’s overall debt by more than $1 billion and significantly reduces Maxar’s leverage ratio,” said Biggs Porter, Maxar CFO. “Also, the loss of future cash flow from MDA will be significantly offset by interest savings from the reduction of debt. We expect the net effect of all these factors to only reduce our prior guidance for Adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow generation in the 2022 to 2023 time period by approximately $50 million.”

Porter continued, “While the sale of MDA will re-baseline the size of the overall company, we continue to expect significant Adjusted EBITDA and Free Cash Flow growth over the next several years as the Legion constellation construction spend completes and the constellation comes online, Services executes on its growing backlog, and Space Infrastructure sees improved profit and cash flow driven by recent re-engineering efforts and new program wins.”

The completion of the transaction is conditioned on regulatory approvals, including review by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States, Hart-Scott-Rodino review by the U.S. Department of Justice and the U.S. Federal Trade Commission, and Canadian government reviews under the Radiocommunications Act and the Competition Act.

PJT Partners, RBC Capital Markets, and Bank of America Merrill Lynch are serving as financial advisors to Maxar. Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz and Stikeman Elliott LLP are serving as the company’s legal advisors for this transaction.

The amounts of revenue and Adjusted EBITDA given above in this release represent the expected results of MDA as they flow into Maxar’s Space Systems and Imagery segments and will vary from the amounts ultimately classified as discontinued operations for MDA, which will reflect interest, depreciation, amortization, taxes, certain corporate expenses, and the effect of blending margins on projects for which MDA is an intercompany subcontractor. The MDA businesses are expected to have approximately US$10 million in Depreciation and Amortization expense.